Install
Please confirm you are human
This browser or connection looks automated. Press and continuously hold the control for 3 seconds to enable Google-hosted web results and, when separately allowed, AI-assisted answers.
A successful check enables 100 search requests. Interactive access does not authorize scraping, systematic collection, or reuse of search output.
News
These rows join FutureSearch's published… — FutureSearch
12+ hour, 45+ min ago (161+ words) Ask any question about the future and get a forecast: probabilities, numbers, and dates, backed by a public track record on stocks, prediction markets, benchmarks, and forecasting tournaments. See the live trading record at markets.futuresearch.ai, benchmark and tournament…...
How Long Will David Silver's Ineffable Intelligence Stay Dark?
3+ week, 1+ day ago (134+ words) Research plan half price for your first month First public result early 2028 at the median, most likely from games or simulated environments, and the company stays British at 93%. Ineffable Intelligence is the London lab founded in late 2025 by David Silver,…...
Forecasting AMI Labs, Yann LeCun's Bet Against LLMs
3+ week, 1+ day ago (138+ words) Research plan half price for your first month First public release May 2028 at the median, a 15% chance a world model beats frontier LLMs on a real benchmark by 2028, and a valuation that probably stays at $4.5B. Yann LeCun left Meta in…...
Jeff Dean's Discovery Loop Should Automate Chip Design First
3+ week, 2+ day ago (431+ words) Research plan half price for your first month Automating science has an R&D feedback loop problem in most other domains So what type of science should they automate? I forecasted, conditional on them focusing on one of the 14 domains…...
Google in the Post-Jeff Dean, Post-Demis Hassabis Era
3+ week, 3+ day ago (489+ words) Research plan half price for your first month People are overestimating the harm from losing talent, but underestimating just how far behind the AI frontier Google now is. They're founding Discovery Loop, a public benefit corporation that wants to automate…...
World Modeling: the Shared Model of the World Behind Every FutureSearch Forecast
3+ week, 5+ day ago (409+ words) Research plan half price for your first month Every forecast you run through FutureSearch draws on a world model: a set of shared drivers discovered across thousands of forecasts, which the forecaster commits to one view of and applies consistently....
Forecast a Decision: the Outcome Under Each Alternative You Could Choose
3+ week, 5+ day ago (324+ words) Research plan half price for your first month General inquiry? You can reach us at [email protected]. decision forecasts the outcome under each alternative of a choice you control. Each row states one yes/no outcome question and lists that decision's…...
Will AI fall significantly out of alignment with human… — FutureSearch
1+ mon, 2+ week ago (541+ words) Will AI fall significantly out of alignment with human… FutureSearch FutureSearch: Search the Future Ask any question about the future and get a forecast: probabilities, numbers, and dates, backed by a public track record on stocks, prediction markets, benchmarks, and…...
When Will Google Rejoin the AI Frontier?
2+ mon, 1+ week ago (189+ words) Gemini 3.5 Pro ships around July 1 but probably lands behind the frontier, with no clear Claude Fable-level model in sight. The reasoning and agentic coding Pichai showed on stage is roughly what Anthropic and OpenAI gave paying users earlier this year....
Forecast Founder Seed Valuations for AI Researchers with Claude Code
3+ mon, 3+ week ago (179+ words) General inquiry? You can reach us at [email protected]. Forecast what 116 AI researchers could raise at seed if they left their labs to found AGI startups. The forecaster searches each researcher's publication record, lab affiliation, public profile, and the recent Sutskever…...